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- BUSINESS, Page 67Encore, Encore
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- A faster, bigger Concorde could cost $10 billion or more
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- "Welcome aboard the last ever Concorde flight. Tomorrow this
- aircraft will join its sister planes in a well-earned
- retirement."
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- In the year 2005, such an announcement could greet the
- passengers crammed into the slim fuselage of the last Concorde
- in service. But frequent Concorde flyers will be happy to learn
- that the crunch may never come. Last week British Aerospace and
- Aerospatiale of France said they will spend $36 million over
- the next five years to study the feasibility of a
- second-generation supersonic jetliner. It is a high-flying
- ambition. The current Concorde, operated by British Airways and
- Air France, has a range of 4,000 miles and a payload of just
- 100 passengers. Concorde II would fly twice the distance
- carrying as many as 300 passengers. The new plane would streak
- through the stratosphere at Mach 2.5 (2 1/2 times the speed of
- sound, or about 1,875 m.p.h., in contrast to the current
- model's Mach 2, or 1,500 m.p.h..
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- The biggest problem in getting Concorde II off the ground
- will be financial. Aerospatiale President Henri Martre
- estimates that the program would spend $10 billion to get
- production rolling. But European aerospace officials with
- memories of the horrendous cost overruns incurred by the first
- Concorde program fear the figure could end up much higher,
- raising doubts about the plane's commercial viability. A new
- Concorde project might be unable to turn a profit without
- government subsidies, which are unlikely to be forthcoming this
- time around.
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- More problems could arise if the U.S. aerospace industry
- enters the race. Last week Martre warned that the market for
- such a plane was too small to justify two competing models, and
- indicated that the Europeans were prepared to involve plane
- makers from the U.S. and elsewhere, including the Soviet Union,
- in their project.
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